January 11-13 Box Office Predictions

The first weekend of 2013 had surprising earnings with Texas Chainsaw 3D, but great nonetheless. It won’t hold the top spot a second time, I think that’ll go to Zero Dark Thirty. Here are the  new releases for the weekend:

A Haunted House

A Haunted House

Plot: Malcolm and Keisha move into their dream home, but soon learn a demon also resides there. When Kisha becomes possessed, Malcolm – determined to keep his sex life on track – turns to a priest, a psychic, and a team of ghost-busters for help.

Marlon Wayans brings us a feature that parodies popular horror films months before Scary Movie 5, a series he and his brother started. I’m not sure if Wayans is attempting to reinvent the parody genre, but if anyone can do it, it might just be him. Even though I laughed once at the trailer. It won’t be as big a hit as Scary Movie, but it’ll certainly be better than anything those idiots Jason Friedberg and Aaron Seltzer (Disaster MovieMeet the Spartans) can dish out to the unsuspecting public. The opening weekends of the Scary Movie have faced a range between $20.5 million (with the second installment) and $48.1 million (with the third installment). And the Friedberg/Seltzer films’ opening weekend range from $5.8 million (Disaster Movie) to $18.6 million (Epic Movie). Anyway, I think A Haunted House will gross higher than Disaster Movie, but lower than Epic Movie. It’ll be somewhere in the middle.

A.H.H. Box Office Prediction: $10, 500, 000

Gangster Squad

Gangster Squad

Plot: A chronicle of the LAPD’s fight to keep East Coast Mafia types out of Los Angeles in the 1940s and 50s.

The real attraction of Gangster Squad is its true crime story vibe and its ensemble cast (including Ryan Gosling, Josh Brolin, Emma Stone, Sean Penn). It will also be interesting to see comedy director Ruben Fleischer (30 Minutes or Less and Zombieland) direct this cast, and what he’d do with this 1949 crime drama. A similar film to this, American Gangster, grossed $43.5 million its opening weekend and the other crime drama in theaters right now, Jack Reacher, grossed $15.2 million its opening weekend. I don’t think it’s very realistic that it would gross close to American Gangster’s number, but it will most likely make more money than Jack Reacher. 

G.S. Box Office Prediction: $21, 000, 000

Quartet

Quartet

Plot: At a home for retired opera singers, the annual concert to celebrate Verdi’s birthday is disrupted by the arrival of Jean, an eternal diva and the former wife of one of the residents.

The limited release of the weekend, Quartet comes to a mere two theaters. This is Dustin Hoffman’s directorial debut, and it is a comedy that mostly appeals to adults that makes me think of 2011’s Hope Springs and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel.

Quartet Box Office Prediction: $16, 000

Zero Dark Thirty

Zero Dark Thirty

Plot: A chronicle of the decade-long hunt for al-Qaeda terrorist leader Osama bin Laden after the September 2001 attacks, and his death at the hands of the Navy S.E.A.L. Team 6 in May, 2011.

It sure is the greatest manhunt in history.  Zero Dark Thirty also seems like an incredible film to watch unfold. Kathryn Bigelow is the director to take on this project. It’s already made $4.6 million, and now it’s going wide. Right after the Oscar nominations are being released tomorrow. The Hurt Locker grossed $17 million, but it wasn’t a very wide release. This is going to gross more in its (wide) opening weekend than T.H.L. grossed in its entire run.

Z.D.T. Box Office Prediction: $23, 500, 000

The holdovers of Django Unchained and Les Mis shouldn’t drop severely because of the Oscar nominations tomorrow. Here’s how I see the top 10:

Top 10 Box Office Predictions

Title/Prediction/Studio/Rotten Tomatoes Score

1. Zero Dark Thirty/ $23, 500, 000/ Sony/ 94%
2. Gangster Squad/ $21, 000, 000/ Warner Bros./ 55%
3. Django Unchained/ $16, 250, 000/ Weinstein Company/ 89%
4. Texas Chainsaw 3D/ $15, 000, 000/ Lionsgate/ 19%
5. Les Misérables/ $14, 000, 000/ Universal/ 70%
6. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey/ $12, 000, 000/ Warner Bros./ 65%
7. A Haunted House/ $10, 500, 000/ ORF
8. Parental Guidance/ $6, 000, 000/ Fox/ 19%
9. Jack Reacher/ $5, 900, 000/ Paramount/ 61%
10. This is 40/ $5, 350, 000/ Universal/ 51%

January 4-6 Box Office Predictions

Texas Chainsaw 3D

Texas Chainsaw 3D

Plot: A young woman travels to Texas to collect an inheritance; little does she know that an encounter with a chainsaw-wielding killer is part of the reward.

The world has seen many films revolving around the the Sawyer family legacy. This is the first wide release for Leatherface in quite some time, so horror fans will most likely be lining up to see this. I’ll be seeing it this weekend if I have time (The Impossible and Promised Land are higher priority for me).

T.C.3D Prediction: $12, 500, 000

Top 10 Box Office Predictions

Title/Prediction/Studio/Rotten Tomatoes Score

1. Django Unchained/ $26, 000, 000/ Weinstein Co./ 88%
2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey/ $23, 800, 000/ Warner Bros./ 65%
3. Les Misérables/ $22, 000, 000/ Universal/ 71%
4. Texas Chainsaw 3D/ $12, 500, 000/ Lionsgate
5. Jack Reacher/ $10, 000, 000/ Paramount/ 61%
6. Parental Guidance/ $9, 500, 000/ Fox/ 18%
7. This is 40/ $8, 000, 000/ Universal/ 51%
8. Promised Land/ $6, 500, 000/ Focus Pictures/ 47%
9. Lincoln/ $5, 000, 000/ Buena Vista/ 91%
10. The Impossible/ $4, 000, 000/ Summit Ent./ 78%

Jack Reacher (2012)

Jack Reacher

Jack Reacher

Release Date: December 21, 2012

Director: Christopher McQuarrie

Stars: Tom Cruise, Rosamund Pike, Richard Jenkins

Runtime: 130 min

Tagline: The law has limits. He does not.

A homicide investigator, Jack Reacher (Tom Cruise), digs deeper into a case involving a trained military sniper who shot five random victims.

Yes, the plot is as simple as it sounds. But it’s effectively simple. It seems that McQuarrie adapts the novel, ‘One Shot’ by Lee Child, very well. While the story is as simple as mystery/thrillers get, it is exciting, and it’s a mystery that often keeps you guessing who is innocent, and who is guilty.

Unfortunately, the simple plot can get silly, and there are a few holes in the story telling. The motive of the baddies is stated, but it is never explored or even fully explained. They’re just up against Mr. Reacher.

Initially, there was some skepticism behind the casting of Tom Cruise, a miniature 5-foot-7 man, playing the 6-foot-5 brute from the novels. There’s a pretty large difference between the two statures. Because, hell, if Reacher is 6-foot-5, I’m Michael Jordan playing basketball poorly. It’s just not something you’re going to believe. Anyway, the end product is superb. Cruise kicks major ass, and after seeing him do it so well, it’s hard to imagine anyone else in the shoes of a not-so-over-bearing Reacher.

This is a mystery/thriller that should be treasured during this century. It’s an incredible simple mystery that has some real old-fashioned action sequences that hold you by the throat. Cruise’s undeniable charisma and the helpings of funny lines make it that much more enjoyable, and it holds one’s attention even more. If you ever start to find yourself uninterested, don’t worry, there’s probably a chase scene or a fight scene just around the bend. Hang in there!

The supporting cast help out with carrying the flick, too. Pike is just mighty sexy, and she’s a great British actress to watch. Richard Jenkins is great in just about everything he does, also. Robert Duvall offers more than a few funny lines, and his role is great for that. There are many other performers there, but this is very much Cruise’s show – and no one steals that from him.

If there’s anything better than Cruise himself, it is probably the interesting cinematography or the more-than-unsettling opening scene. The camerawork and there are some nice angles worked into the feature. In the opening scene, the viewer sees all the victims get shot. Right through the scope of the man’s sniper rifle. It goes over everyone the man is planning to kill, and it does it to the sound of his heavy breathing. It is mostly suspenseful because you do not know who he is going to choose. It is one of the most grippingly suspenseful scenes of the feature, and there are only a few other scenes that are better than it.

In a nutshell: Jack Reacher is a very fun mystery action/thriller that offers solid entertainment and more than a few memorable action scenes. The plot is effective and there may be some holes in its story, but that really doesn’t get in the way of enjoyment during. The surprising bites of humour make it that much more and enjoyable, and I am pleased to welcome this old-fashioned-lives-by-his-own-rules investigator to action cinema.

75/100