April 19-21 Box Office Predictions: ‘Oblivion’

Oblivion seems like a promising film with great visuals, and it’s the only new release of the weekend. Director, writer and producer, Joseph Kosinski only had a hand in directing Tron: Legacy, so at least one person has some experience in the sci-fi genre. The other two writers are new to genre, Karl Gajdusek only has written Trespass, and Michael Arndt has had a hand in writing Little Miss Sunshine and Toy Story 3. It looks like it could be a very cool ode to science fiction, but it’s not clear how big of an audience it will attract this weekend, but it could very well become a big blockbuster. Tom Cruise isn’t as attractive at the box office as he once was. He has a $21.92 million average opening, but Jack Reacher only managed to earn $15.21 million in its opening weekend last year. Hopefully he does well in this, because it’s his only 2013 film. The co-stars of the film include Morgan Freeman and Olga Kurylenko, and Melissa Leo. Similar movies to this open at an average $26.87 million. I think it will come fairly close to $40 million and still do good business with $38.9 million.

Here’s how I see the top 10:
1. Oblivion: $38, 900, 000
2. 42: $20, 850, 000
3. The Croods: $8, 920, 000
4. The Place Beyond the Pines: $6, 250, 000
5. G.I. Joe: Retaliation: $6, 000, 000
6. Scary Movie 5: $5, 420, 000
7. Jurassic Park 3D: $5, 000, 000
8. Olympus Has Fallen: $4, 900, 000
9. Evil Dead: $4, 500, 000
10. Oz the Great and Powerful: $2, 800, 000